Premier League Top 4 Betting Guide
With 380 Premier League matches taking place each season, there are certainly plenty of opportunities for punters to place their bets. However, single-match markets are not the only existing ones on offer. Outright betting allows you to predict what will happen at the end of the season and it can make things interesting from the opening weekend all the way through to the last.
One of the most pop...
With 380 Premier League matches taking place each season, there are certainly plenty of opportunities for punters to place their bets. However, single-match markets are not the only existing ones on offer. Outright betting allows you to predict what will happen at the end of the season and it can make things interesting from the opening weekend all the way through to the last.
One of the most popular options is top 4 betting, which, realistically having just six or seven teams to choose from, is also one of the easiest bets to win. In our betting on top 4 premier league guide, we are going to run through our top tips for the new season, including the best places to place your wagers and the teams that will look to be a surprise act throughout it.
Current Premiership Top Four Odds
With top four betting odds being live for the duration of the season, this is also one of the Premier League’s most volatile markets. Because although a team can go through a good run of form, it can just as easily go through a bad one.
This means results on the pitch will also have an effect on the odds that the bookmakers set; therefore, the values that you see at the start of the campaign may be different as it unfolds. This is why it is best to follow our EPL football betting tips to get our latest predictions as the season progresses.
| EPL Team | Top 4 Odds | EPL Team | Top 4 Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 1.10 | Arsenal | 1.17 |
| Manchester City | 1.25 | Chelsea | 1.62 |
| Manchester Utd | 3.75 | Newcastle | 3.75 |
| Tottenham | 6.00 | Aston Villa | 6.00 |
| Brighton | 17.00 | Nottingham Forest | 26.00 |
| Everton | 26.00 | Bournemouth | 26.00 |
| Crystal Palace | 29.00 | Fulham | 41.00 |
| Brentford | 51.00 | West Ham | 51.00 |
| Wolverhampton | 67.00 | Leeds | 101.00 |
| Sunderland | 151.00 | Burnley | 201.00 |
Basics of Betting on the Top Finishers
Although some markets can be confusing, top 4 betting is not among them. Here you are simply selecting a team that you think will end up finishing in the top four of the league table. Meanwhile, not only is it found in every major bookmaker, but ther...
Although some markets can be confusing, top 4 betting is not among them. Here you are simply selecting a team that you think will end up finishing in the top four of the league table. Meanwhile, not only is it found in every major bookmaker, but there is also a variation to it as well.
One that comes in the form of top 6 betting, as you select a team to finish in the top six of the final league table. The reason it is so popular is that a top-four finish also means qualification for the following Champions League competition. While this is always an interesting subplot to any Premier League season.
Moreover, this is a market that can be bet on before the season gets underway or while it is in progress – something that only adds more interest to proceedings. Should you place your bets early, the top four betting odds are likely to be larger. However, with every team on zero points at that stage, the element of risk is also attached.
Therefore, it is sometimes better to wait until the league is in full swing. The odds may be smaller, but you will at least be able to use the current league table as a guide for your selection. That being said, it is not worth betting on the favorites in this market. If only because the eventual reward does not pay enough for the wait, you will have to withstand.
Therefore, it is always better to select those teams who -you believe- are going to finish third or fourth in the table. Another aspect to consider is the ability to cash out; with odds being able to change in an instant, it makes sense to be able to bank your winnings earlier than the season’s final day. Especially if your selection has a good points advantage but with a difficult set of fixtures ahead.
Likewise, particularly if you don't think there is value to back a team to finish in the top four, you should look at the Premier League relegation betting market. The relegation battle is always more fierce, with more teams involved every year. Plus, the odds you will receive will be better because it is never easy to be certain which teams will go down.
Best Premier League Top Four Predictions
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Most Successful Top-four Finishers
When looking to make your top four predictions, one thing to consider is previous performance in the Premier League. The best way to measure it is by looking at which teams finish in the top four the most. When looking at the past 10 seasons of the Premier League, here are the statistics that you need to know:
- Manchester City have a 100% success rate when it comes to top four finishes
- Chelsea has an 90% success rate
- Liverpool’s rate stands at 80%
- Tottenham and Manchester United both have a 30% success rate
- Arsenal’s rate increases to a 50%
- Newcastle and Aston Villa have just a 10% top-four success rate, once each in the last three season.
A Final Thought about Premier League Top 4 Betting
Although top 4 betting is worth the time and effort, that effort should better be placed on the hunt for some good value. Therefore, when it comes to this market, you should avoid any teams with odds that are 1.50 or lower. Meanwhile, if you are to place any bet within this market, you must remember that any winnings can only come at the end of the season.
This means this must be treated as a longer-term investment. Then again, it pays to wait because the top four betting odds will be shorter towards the end of the season. The reason for this is that the Premier League table will be far less volatile than it is at the start. With that in mind, here is our recommended list of bookmakers:
Frequently Asked Questions
